17551 Property Market and Risk Analysis

Warning: The information on this page is indicative. The subject outline for a particular session, location and mode of offering is the authoritative source of all information about the subject for that offering. Required texts, recommended texts and references in particular are likely to change. Students will be provided with a subject outline once they enrol in the subject.

Subject handbook information prior to 2025 is available in the Archives.

UTS: Design, Architecture and Building: School of the Built Environment
Credit points: 6 cp

Subject level:

Postgraduate

Result type: Grade and marks

Requisite(s): 12535 Property Investment and Development Feasibility AND ( 15142 Property Development Process OR 15142 Property Development Process )
These requisites may not apply to students in certain courses.
There are course requisites for this subject. See access conditions.

Description

This capstone subject aims to provide students with a comprehensive understanding of and related skills to determine and assess critical factors involved in achieving successful outcomes for property development projects. In this subject students are expected to synthesise their understanding gained from the previous subjects within the program.

Building on a student's prior course learning in feasibility studies, planning and property development processes, this subject involves analysis of the underpinning economic factors and other dynamics when analysing specific property markets.

Using demographic, statistical and other published data, students are taught a range of skills including the application of demand and supply analysis to forecast likely demand for a project and potential price points. Property development risk analysis techniques are used to identify critical development inputs, management issues and economic variables that may create significant risks in specific projects. Risk measurement techniques including sensitivity and scenario analysis are applied to identify, measure and manage specific project risks.

Subject learning objectives (SLOs)

On successful completion of this subject, students should be able to:

1.	Understand of the structure and key determinants of property markets.
2.	Identify and understand of the key determinants of property cycles.
3.	Use some of the basic risk analysis techniques applicable to property markets and have an awareness of more advanced techniques available to the analyst.
4.	Apply a comprehensive understanding of property market drivers and key risk analysis techniques to produce and present a comprehensive project risk analysis report to common industry standards.

Course intended learning outcomes (CILOs)

This subject also contributes to the following Course Intended Learning Outcomes:

Interpret, assess, and communicate complex relevant knowledge across the property development process to multidisciplinary stakeholders for positive outcomes. (C.1)
Evaluate and assess a range of approaches to develop appropriate creative and innovative property development solutions. (I.1)

Contribution to the development of graduate attributes

The term CAPRI is used for the five Design, Architecture and Building faculty graduate attribute categories where:

C = communication and groupwork

A = attitudes and values

P = practical and professional

R = research and critique

I = innovation and creativity.

Course intended learning outcomes (CILOs) are linked to these categories using codes (e.g. C-1, A-3, P-4, etc.).

Teaching and learning strategies

The subject is delivered in block mode via two blocks of two days.

A combination of online readings and assessments are used and combined with in-class presentations, discussions, and workshops to achieve the subject objectives. Each topic has a combination of prepared content, plus activities to implement knowledge and apply skills related to developing an understanding of risk. Students will receive formative feedback in relation to the development and application of primary analysis skills. Feedback is delivered via in-class discussion and written summative feedback on all assessments.

In completing this subject students are required to undertake a development study of a real world development project and apply prior learning together with learning from this subject to identifyproperty market risk and implement analysis.

Students are required to undertake and interact with online presentations and undertake related pre-reading and complete prior to the first day of classes for each block. Information on assessment is contained within the subject outline, posted on Canvas.

As per the DAB generic Subject Outline, the faculty expects students to attend 80 per cent of all classes for all enrolled subjects. Furthermore, pursuant to UTS rule 3.8.2, students who do not satisfy attendance requirements may be refused permission by the responsible academic officer to be considered for assessment for this subject. Where assessment tasks are to be presented personally in class, attendance is mandatory.

NOTE:

Prior to the first block of classes you must have reviewed the material in the ‘Readings' section of the Canvas page for this subject. In the folder marked 'Block 1' you will find readings and other materials that will be referred to and evaluated during the first block. It is essential that you are familiar with this material or you will not be able to participate properly in class because you won’t have the background and context of the discussions. Similarly, prior to Block 2 there will be another folder of material for you to review.

Further, within each teaching block, students will be required to complete group activities designed to correct and/or enhance their understanding of the course materials and content.

Content (topics)

• Characteristics of Property Markets

• Property Market Cycles

• Risk

• Residential Property Development

• Commercial Property Development

• DCF Principles

• DCf Practice

• Risk Analysis

Assessment

Assessment task 1: Property Markets & Cycles Report

Intent:

Prepare a residential market report for a vacant residential developmnet site.

Objective(s):

This task addresses the following subject learning objectives:

1, 2 and 3

This task also addresses the following course intended learning outcomes that are linked with a code to indicate one of the five CAPRI graduate attribute categories (e.g. C.1, A.3, P.4, etc.):

.3 and C.1

Type:

Report

Groupwork:

Individual

Weight:

35%

Criteria linkages:

Criteria	Weight (%)	SLOs	CILOs
Demonstrate synthesis of theory relevant to pre-readings and other online learning material	40	1	C.1
Evaluate and make Risk Assessment judgements in property development scenarios	40	2	.3
Ability to communicate, knowledge, skills and ideas to transfer information concerning property market drivers and cycles in an effective and concise manner	20	3	.3

SLOs: subject learning objectives
CILOs: course intended learning outcomes

Assessment task 2: Development Assessment Report

Intent:

You are required to prepare a project risk analysis report relating to specific proposed development site.